Edoardo Molinari wins again; picked for Ryder Cup

Golf Betting Lines

08/29/2010 - Perthshire, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hoping to join his brother Francesco on the European Ryder Cup team, Edoardo Molinari put together a stunning finish to win the Johnnie Walker Championship at Gleneagles.

Edoardo fell two strokes behind Brett Rumford, but closed with three straight birdies to come from behind for his second win of the season in Scotland.

He shot a one-under 71 to finish at 10-under-par 278. Edoardo, who also won the Scottish Open this year, was then selected by captain Colin Montgomerie to play on the European Ryder Cup team alongside his brother.

Rumford birdied the final two holes to card a two-under 70. He took second place at minus-nine.

Francesco Molinari, the third-round leader, struggled to a three-over 75 to slide into a share of third place at seven-under-par 281. He ended alongside Miguel Angel Jimenez (72) and Jamie Donaldson (69).

Simon Dyson finished in sixth at minus-six after a closing with a 74.

The Molinari brothers were fighting for the lead most of the round. Edoardo fell one behind at the 14th when his approach plugged in a bunker and he blasted across the green. Edoardo two-putted for bogey to fall one behind Francesco and Jimenez.

Jimenez had birdied the 16th to get to eight-under, but cost himself dearly at 17. The Spaniard missed the green at the par-three, then left his par putt within a foot of the hole. He went to brush in the bogey effort, but missed the putt and walked off with a double-bogey.

Two groups later, Rumford made his move. After carding a single birdie and a lone bogey through 16 holes, the Australian rolled in back-to-back birdies from the 17th to take the lead at minus-nine.

The Molinaris were the only ones with reasonable chances to catch Rumford. Edoardo two-putted for birdie on the 16th, while Francesco got up and down for birdie. They both moved to minus-eight with their birdies on 16.

"I knew I had to do two birdies on the last three at least to tie him and I had a big putt on 16. I think that was very important," said Edoardo.

Edoardo followed with a long birdie effort on 17 to join Rumford in the lead at nine-under. At the last, Edoardo came up short with his second at the par- five. He chipped within a foot and kicked that in for the win.

"Playing the last, I played a nice second shot, and made a great chip, again," Edoardo stated.

With the victory, Edoardo became the first player to win two events in Scotland in the same season and became the seventh player with multiple wins this year.

Francesco parred 17, but took himself out of the picture at the last. His second landed in deep grass about 40 yards short of the green. He took an unplayable lie penalty and chipped his fourth onto the green. Francesco two- putted for a closing bogey to slide into a share of third place.

Early on, Francesco and Edoardo posted matching birdies on the second and bogeys on the third. Edoardo gained a piece of the lead with a birdie on the sixth.

Francesco faltered to three straight bogeys from the seventh to slide to minus-seven, but was only one shot back as Edoardo bogeyed eight and nine as well.

Around the turn, Francesco went birdie-bogey-birdie-bogey-birdie from the 12th. Edoardo managed his late rally after making bogey on 14.

NOTES: Nine players automatically qualified for the European Ryder Cup team -- Lee Westwood, Jimenez, Ian Poulter, Graeme McDowell, Ross Fisher, Martin Kaymer, Rory McIlroy, Francesco Molinari and Peter Hanson...Edoardo Molinari, Padraig Harrington and Luke Donald were Colin Montgomerie's captain's picks...Peter Hedblom, the 2009 champion, finished at minus-one after stumbling to a six-over 78 in the final round.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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